Thursday, January 21, 2010

The New World Order

Tonight Keith Olbermann did a great commentary on how the new SupCt ruling will ruin the world. I condense, but that’s the jist of it, and I agree with it. I would agree even if I hadn’t just read the book Jennifer Government.

However, I do disagree with one small point. He said after eliminating all the news outlets that oppose corporations, the new world order of sponsored politicians would eliminate even the news outlets that supported them, like Fox News, after which the only news that would reach our awareness would be news favorable to corporations. All other news would never see the light of day.

I believe that Fox News will carry on because it serves an important purpose in that same new world order, and it’s the same purpose Fox has had for a while now. Specifically, Fox News’ purpose has been to:

1. Distract people from real issues with false issues
2. Muffle or drown out the truth when the truth doesn’t match Fox’s agenda
3. Scare and confuse people generally

In the world Olbermann envisions, a world where you believe what the powers that be want you to believe because you don’t know any better, while at the same time living conditions, rights, and quality of life deteriorate, Fox News is, as it always has been, the corporation’s friend.

The book Jennifer Government (spoiler alert) begins in a world already run by corporations, and the largest ones have divided themselves into two factions that started out as customer loyalty plans. An ambitious Nike executive moves up the corporate ladder with a series of daring moves involving murder to increase sales.

His career seems limitless until he makes the mistake of killing the President of the nominal government. He thinks a world without government would be better for corporations. However, the other executives know that the existence of this nominal, mostly ineffectual government is a big part of keeping regular people content and allows corporations to shield what they do. Just like Fox News does.

If this is the sign of things to come, Keith forgot to mention another thing: in the book, both loyalty programs relied heavily on private for-profit armies.

Monday, January 18, 2010

The Last Word

This is the night before the special Senate election in Mass. I live in California, so my only interest in this race is how it affects the party balance in the Senate.

Tonight Jon Stewart skewered Democratic candidate Martha Coakley for lack of style in campaigning, then turned around and poked Mass. voters for preferring style over substance (we thought they liked liberals--turns out they like good-looking men).

Why is Jon Stewart suddenly taking the Joan Rivers style chair? Is the last thing he wants to leave voters with the fact that Martha Coakley's gladhanding skills could be better? Of all the substantive differences between the two, he wants to talk about sports knowledge? Not Martha Coakley's record as (a popular) Attorney General? Not all the money that's been pouring in from Wall Street and health insurers to Brown? Not Brown's suggestion that Obama was born out of wedlock? Not his affiliation with the wingnuts and Tea Partiers?

Really.

Yes, sure Democrats have to start pushing harder. They shouldn't need a supermajority just to get some watered-down insurance reform. But it is what it is, and right now, that's what it is.

Supermajority or not, would you ever want a Scott Brown over a Martha Coakley? You want to send a message? Here's a good one, courtesy of Shoq:

"...only voting can prevent your nation from sliding right back into the right wing, corporate dominated, science hating, pluralism fearing, gay bashing, infrastructure ignoring, education slashing, marriage mashing, arts crushing, book burning, war mongering, bigoted cesspool of greed and self-destructiveness that you hoped it was finally crawling out of.
"1

1Shoqvalue.com January 17, 2010

Sunday, November 22, 2009

NEW Rare Romance Hardcovers!

JULIA QUINN hardcovers
What Happens in London
The Viscount Who Loved Me
An Offer From a Gentleman
When He Was Wicked
Everything and the Moon
Brighter Than the Sun


buythebookcv.com now has two dozen book club hardcovers by BERTRICE SMALL going all the way back to the mid-1980s!

SKYE O'MALLEY SERIES
Skye O'Malley
All the Sweet Tomorrows
A Love For All Time
This Heart of Mine

SKYE'S LEGACY
Darling Jasmine
Bedazzled
Besieged
Vixens

FRIARSGATE INHERITANCE
Rosamund
Until You
Philippa
The Last Heiress

BLAZE WYNDHAM
Blaze Wyndham
Love Remember Me

CHANNEL (Contemporary)
Forbidden Pleasures

WORLD OF HETAR
Lara

A Memory of Love
A Moment in Time
Betrayed
Captivated (anthology)
Deceived
The Dragon Lord's Daughters
The Duchess
The Love Slave

Friday, November 20, 2009

In Which I Contemplate Creative Financing

This article about Borders got me thinking. Borders has had financial trouble for a while, and the article states that Borders had its credit insurance cancelled as a direct result.

We've all heard the stories about health insurance companies cancelling policies and benefits. They are not supposed to cancel individual policies, but they can eliminate a class of policies that are proving unprofitable.

I don't support this. Insurance should be a collective pool of risk, not a game of chicken.

However...things being as they are...

Think back to 15 months or so ago. The economy was accelerating down a slippery slope. At the core, the decline in real estate prices beginning in 2007 led to the bottom falling out of the mortgage-backed securities market. These were owned by brokers, hedge funds, and a swath of smaller investors.

These mortgage-backed securities were often insured. During 2008, mortgages failed and insurance was paid out. Then the insurance ran out.

The property/casualty insurance company AIG had been known for insuring unusual risks--big concerts, stunts, etc. They appraised risks well enough to make insurance both affordable and profitable. They were known as a class act, and they consistently met regulatory reserve requirements.

The credit insurance subsidiary of AIG was none of these things. They sold everyone insurance on investments without keeping cash reserves for the risks they were insuring. They didn't seem to recognize the possibility of a massive run on claims even after a decade of unusually volatile market activity. They didn't seem to know or care what the consequences of their actions might be.

It was AIG that got the first big chunk of bailout money a year ago--money it used to pay policyholders 100 cents on the dollar of their claims. This is the major reason that Goldman Sachs was able to bounce back so soon. Goldman was so cash-poor that it had to take government money at the end of last year. Once AIG paid off Goldman's claims, it was able to repay the government with interest and post a $4 billion profit by the second quarter of this year.

Not everyone got bailed out. Stock values fell around 40%--no bailout for us. Lehman Brothers bondholders have no backup plan. Anyone insured through smaller credit insurers didn't get bailed out. When the claims reserves ran out, that was it. But AIG got bailed out because it was special: it was declared too big to fail. And AIG in turn passed that money on to big players like Goldman--and others who caused the problem in the first place by both creating mortgage-backed securities and increasing the demand for them beyond what the market could sustain. Goldman doesn't have to pay its claims money back to the government even though that's where it came from.

So here's my point: why didn't AIG simply cancel its insurance on all mortgage-backed securities when it saw the end coming? Or at least when the credit division ran out of money? Then the rest of the company wouldn't need a bailout.

But, you may argue, that's not fair to those who had the foresight to buy insurance. If you argue this, you have to also agree that cancelling other forms of insurance is not fair, either. Insurance policies should not be treated like callable bonds. I don't argue with this...

...but since we're already allowing insurance cancellation to happen to innocent people, why not include the guilty? In this case, the ones who were insured by AIG had created and profited by these dud investments and then moved the risk of failure to someone else. Why not move the consequences of failure back on the creators?

The money would still be gone, and the bailout still would have happened (though not for 100 cents on the dollar!), but there would have been an important bookkeeping change. Instead of the bailout money going through AIG to Goldman et al, it would have gone straight to AIG's policyholders. And Goldman, et al, would still owe it back to the taxpayers. With interest.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

New Listings and Gift Ideas

Thanksgiving is next week, and we are officially in the Christmas shopping season. Here are some new additions to the store and gift highlights:

GIFTS FOR KIDS
Lord of the Rings trilogy
His Dark Materials trilogy
Eragon
Little House on the Prairie 5 in 1 omnibus
Dragon trilogy by Margaret Weis
Sterkarm Kiss/Handshake by Susan Price
Summers at Castle Auburn by Sharon Shinn
The Shapechanger's Wife by Sharon Shinn
Sevenwaters fantasy trilogy by Juliet Marillier
A Great and Terrible Beauty by Libba Bray
Julie Kenner's high school vampire duo (Good Ghouls Do/Getting Even)
Mammoth Book of Manga
Drawing Shoujo Manga

NEW in stock
The Girl Who Played With Fire by Stieg Larsson HC
White Lies by Jayne Ann Krentz - Arcane Society HC
Mercenaries by Angela Knight - TP
Wolf Totem by Jiang Rong HC
Hotshot by Catherine Mann pb
Book club hardcovers by Sabrina Jeffries, Nicole Jordan, Bertrice Small, Eloisa James, Karen Hawkins, Karen Ranney, Hannah Howell, and more

COMING THIS WEEK
Book club hardcovers by Bertrice Small, Catherine Anderson, Virginia Henley, and more

SERIES AVAILABLE (books sold individually)
LA Banks Vampire Huntress series in trade paper and some pb
Janet Evanovich's Stephanie Plum series in hardcover
Laurell K Hamilton - Anita Blake and Princess Merry - HC and pb
Charlaine Harris - Sookie Stackhouse - pb and HC
Jim Butcher - Harry Dresden HC and pb
Jillian Hunter - Boscastle HC and pb
JR Ward - Black Dagger Brotherhood pb and some HC
Kim Harrison - Hollows pb and some HC
Lara Adrian - Midnight Breed pb
Sara Douglass - Crucible, Troy Game, and Wayfarer Redemption HC
Robert Jordan - Wheel of Time HC
Lora Leigh - Feline Breeds pb
Cheyenne McCray - Magic pb
Anya Bast - Witches pb
Christine Feehan - Ghostwalker pb and some HC
Jacquelyn Frank - Nightwalker pb
JD Robb - In Death pb and some HC
Karen Chance - Cassandra Palmer pb
Carrie Vaughn - Kitty Norville pb
Keri Arthur - Riley Jenson pb and some HC
Kresley Cole - Immortals After Dark pb

Sunday, October 4, 2009

Updatery with recent listings

Recent additions to the store, all new:

PARANORMAL
WATCHERS IN THE NIGHT Jenna Black, mm
THE VAMPIRE QUEEN'S SERVANT Joey Hill, trade
UNDEAD AND UNAPPRECIATED MaryJanice Davidson, signed and unsigned hardcovers
TWILIGHT BEGINS Maggie Shayne, trade
TOUCH OF NIGHT Susan Spencer Paul, mm
TOUCH OF PASSION Susan Spencer Paul, mm
COLD STREETS PN Elrod, mm
SONG IN THE DARK PN Elrod, 1st ed
SOCIETY OF S Susan Hubbard, 1st ed
SHADOWS IN THE DARKNESS Elaine Cunningham, 1st ed
SHADOWS IN THE STARLIGHT Elaine Cunningham, 1st ed

EROTICA/STEAMY ROMANCE
VIVID GIRLS LUST RANCH All trade paperbacks
TIE ME UP, TIE ME DOWN Sherrilyn Kenyon and Jaid Black
SUITE FANTASY Janice Maynard
SUDDEN PLEASURES Bertrice Small
STRICTLY TABOO Jaid Black
SOMEBODY'S LOVER Jasmine Haynes
SKYSCRAPER Zane
SHEER PLEASURE Maggie Shayne
SATISFACTION Thea Devine

HISTORICAL ROMANCE
THE TASTE OF INNOCENCE Stephanie Laurens, 1st ed
WHAT PRICE LOVE Stephanie Laurens, 1st ed
UNTIL YOU Bertrice Small, trade
THE BORDER LORD'S BRIDE Bertrice Small, trade
THE HAMILTONS Catherine Cookson, hcdj

CONTEMPORARY ROMANCE
WILDLY WINSTON Lori Foster, trade
SIMON SAYS Lori Foster, mm
SECRET LIFE OF BRYAN Lori Foster, large print hardcover

HISTORICAL MYSTERY
TWO O'CLOCK EASTERN WARTIME John Dunning, 1st ed
THE THRALL'S TALE Judith Lindberg, 1st ed, signed and unsigned
THE SLIGHTEST PROVOCATION Pam Rosenthal, trade
SUSPENSE AND SENSIBILITY Carrie Bebris, 1st ed
SEE DELPHI AND DIE Lindsey Davis, 1st ed

CONTEMPORARY MYSTERY
SUITE 606 JD Robb et al, mm

FANTASY
TALYN Holly Lisle, 1st ed
STERKARM HANDSHAKE Susan Price, mm
STERKARM KISS Susan Price, 1st ed
SONG FOR THE BASILISK Patricia McKillip, rare first print!
SONG OF IRELAND Juilene Osborne-McKnight, 1st ed
SOMETHING ROTTEN Jasper Fforde, 1st ed
TERRY PRATCHETT: THE WIT AND WISDOM OF DISCWORLD

LITERATURE
THE AWAKENING Kate Chopin, hardcover

NONFICTION
U2 INTO THE HEART-STORIES BEHIND ALL THE SONGS trade
THANK YOU MOM (Mother's Day gift book) small hardcover
RULING PLANETS trade

Sunday, September 27, 2009

THE RIPPLE EFFECT OF HEALTH CARE REFORM

Health care reform has been painted as only affecting access to and payment for health care. But health care reform would have a positive ripple effect beyond the direct delivery of care that would benefit even those who are happy with their current health care. Here is where some of those ripples go:

TORT VERDICTS

Republicans in Congress champion tort reform, yet health care reform would be a huge step toward reducing tort verdicts.

A. Costs

1. Cost Efficiency. It’s been widely reported that the U.S. pays more for health care than other developed nations, both in pure dollar amount and as a measure of ratio to results. Because raw costs are higher, tort verdicts that reimburse health care costs are higher.

2. Cost Efficiency Multiplied. There’s another cost component to tort verdicts: pain and suffering. This is a normal part of a tort verdict. There is no additional threshold or requirement to show intent to cause pain; it’s just a given. Nor does any court try to measure an individual’s degree of pain and suffering. “Pain and suffering” is usually calculated as a multiple of actual costs. Jurors tend to perceive that higher medical bills means more pain and suffering. Though some states like California have a cap on pain and suffering awards, even in California, three times costs is not unusual, and ten times costs is not unheard of. Thus, high health care costs can affect tort judgments exponentially.

3. Precluding Lawsuits. Finally, consider that the biggest tort awards to individuals start with someone suing to recover medical expenses. However, if medical bills were taken off the table completely—if no one had to sue to recover medical expenses because everyone received care—there would be no medical bills to worry about. If everyone had disability insurance, there would be no loss of income as a result of injury. In short, for many plaintiffs who would otherwise receive high awards, there would be no need to sue.

Eliminating lawsuits for those suing to recover only medical costs would in turn reduce taxpayer-funded court costs, make room for speedier civil trials (criminals must be tried immediately, but civil cases can drag on for years) and reduce the need for civil jurors.

B. Compassionate Awards. The second way tort awards are affected by health care is really about how juries are influenced by how health care is delivered. The law recognizes that there will be times where a plaintiff is clearly injured, that the defendant may have contributed to the result, but that what the defendant did or didn’t do doesn’t warrant legal liability. Put another way, accidents happen. In these multitude of cases, juries are supposed to deny the plaintiff any recovery.

Many compassionate people serve on juries. They see that a plaintiff is truly injured, and they want that person to have adequate care, especially when the plaintiff is a conscientious, innocent victim. Though it is forbidden to even mention insurance during a trial (on pain of mistrial), juries are also not stupid. They know that companies and institutions have liability insurance and sick/injured people are far less likely to have health insurance. Thus, they may return a verdict of negligence just to make sure the plaintiff can pay medical bills and continue to receive care.

If paying for adequate care was not an issue—if everyone received care without question of cost—the motivation for these awards would disappear.

INSURANCE PREMIUMS

A. General Liability. Property and Casualty (P&C) insurance is very different from health insurance and largely sold by different companies. Liability insurance, part of P&C, is far more expensive because liability insurance pays for lawsuit expenses, settlements, and judgments. Reducing medical costs reduces court costs and verdicts, which reduces liability insurance premiums. For common types of coverage like home, auto, and business liability, P&C offers many choices and is priced competitively. Home, business, and auto insurance each have a property insurance component and a liability insurance component.

B. Medical Malpractice. Medical malpractice is a very specialized type of coverage offered by only a few companies, and only state by state. The reason is that the pool of buyers, health care providers, is small, and award sizes are large. Thus, there is a smaller pool among which to spread higher claims, which increases the business risk for the insurance company and premiums for insureds.

Med mal is considered a P&C coverage, albeit a specialized one. It exists to pay liability costs. Med mal is particularly hard-hit by “sympathy” verdicts because it’s just more likely that any little mistake by a doctor can result in injury. People make mistakes. We’d all hate to think that we could be sued for an ordinary lapse of concentration at work, but that’s what doctors face every day.

If med mal awards are reduced overall and “sympathy” awards eliminated, med mal premiums for health care providers can be substantially reduced. Since these premiums are factored into fees, reducing med mal premiums will reduce total health care costs, synergistically reducing verdicts further, and so on. Reduced awards would reduce the ratio of risk to number of insureds, and would result in more accurate pricing (less padding in premiums to protect against unusually high awards—lower premiums).

The more specialized the insurance coverage is, the less competitive it becomes, and the more the market is controlled by the insurance companies offering it.

BARRIERS TO COMPETITION

In addition, the roller coaster nature of the med mal insurance business creates a barrier to compete. A company had better be very sure it knows what it’s doing and have a lot of cash reserves before it enters the med mal market because it may not survive mistakes. It better also be prepared to slice a state’s insured pool even smaller.

If an auto insurance company has to pay unusually high awards in a year, it takes a notch off of profits. If a medical malpractice insurance company with its smaller pool of insureds has to pay unusually high awards in a year, it could go out of business. It’s not surprising then that even large states have few choices for required med mal insurance.

Reduced awards would have the ancillary benefit of lowering the business risk of med mal insurers and result in lower barriers to enter the med mal market. More carriers could reasonably compete (as they used to when verdicts were lower).

AGE DISCRIMINATION

Employers pay for group insurance based on statistics about their employee population, including age. The higher the average age, the higher the group premium. This is not the biggest factor contributing to age discrimination, but it’s not insignificant.

The biggest factor impacting age discrimination is still salary: older workers have worked their way up to earning more. But while an employer can negotiate salary with an older worker, especially during a recession, there is no negotiating benefit premiums.

REAL ESTATE

Real estate? Yes, real estate. Or more specifically, foreclosures. Even with unusually high unemployment rates, the number one reason for home foreclosures is medical bills.

LABOR EFFICIENCY

Thousands of people put off retirement they could otherwise afford so that they can keep job-related health benefits until they are eligible for Medicare. Those people are keeping others from moving up. Thousands more stay in jobs with benefits rather than strike out on their own. This reduces entrepreneurism, the backbone of economic progress and our competitive position in the world. These are inefficiencies that keep our GNP from developing to its full potential. Plus, a few jobs opening up would improve unemployment during this recession.